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Tag Archives: Syria

Nested (Conflict) Dolls – NATO-Russia | Sunni-Shiite | KSA-Iran | Syria

18 Tuesday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Political Psychology, Politics

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conflict, dictatorship, NATO, political, political science, politics, Putin, Russia, Sochi, Syria, USA

That which is distasteful to thee, do not do to another.

HILLEL – JewishEncyclopedia.com

* * *

More than 450 Indian migrant workers in Qatar have died in the last two years, media revealed on Monday. Another upcoming report will show that 400 Nepalese have lost their lives scrambling to get the Gulf state ready for the 2022 World cup.

Qatar World Cup toll: ‘Hundreds’ of Indian migrant workers dead in two years — RT News – 2/17/2014.

* * *

WANT TO know how badly U.S. Syrian policy is going, as President Obama works with international mediator Lakdhar Brahimi? Over the weekend Brahimi apologized to the Syrian people that their hopes for a resolution has come to naught, as the peace talks collapse. It’s made worse that Russia is blocking humanitarian assistance to the people, putting President Obama in a very tough spot.

Putin Plays Pimp of Sochi, While Ignoring Carnage in Syria – Taylor Marsh – 2/17/2014.

______

The latest virtual manufacture in the world might be called “nested conflict dolls”, the creation of successive wars by proxy between Russia and the United States / NATO and played out between layers of Sunni and Shiite Islam within the Islamic Small Wars of the middle east and elsewhere, perhaps too between nationalist movements, at least one of which, Hungary’s Jobbik, claim far back Iranian roots, and the liberal-progressive do-good societies of the open democracies.

Predictably, RT’s rakin’ the muck — and no need to fabricate it — from the Arab world while Americans like Taylor Marsh (and myself) view Sochi (a $51 billion show) and Syria (for which Russia has pledged $10 million in humanitarian aid) side by side.

For Putin, Russia, and the rest of the world, Sochi, in memory and in fact, will survive Syria.

The jet set will go skiing, plan winter vacations, ape their own Olympic moments, take snapshots, and dine like royalty by the Black Sea while those punished by years of war and the destruction of their former lives will go on struggling along in the darker shadows of history.

Reference

Qatar World Cup toll: ‘Hundreds’ of Indian migrant workers dead in two years — RT News – 2/17/2014.

HILLEL – JewishEncyclopedia.com

Sochi Winter Olympics: criticism of Games reflects ‘Cold War’ mentality, says Putin – 2/12/2017.

Putin Is Playing a Game of His Own – WSJ.com – 2/14/2014.

It may be warm in Sochi, but these 5 things are chilling U.S-Russia relations | Updates | PBS NewsHour | PBS – 2/13/2014.

Putin Plays Pimp of Sochi, While Ignoring Carnage in Syria – Taylor Marsh – 2/17/2014.

* * *

For thought on the role that money, big money, Ayatollah money, corporate money plays in political sports everywhere and on every issue:

“I’m happy to promote business, but I’m not one of those folks who’s going to be directed by billionaires and I think that’s one of the divisions we have in the Republican conference,” he added.

GOP congressman caught on tape blasting leadership as ‘directed by billionaires’ | The Raw Story

Republican Representative Steve King of Iowa voiced the above complaint in relation to U.S. domestic immigration reform; however, in principle, he’s remarked for all intents on the gravitational sway of wealth in its own right.  Whatever the lobbyists may promote, however they may define issues and do battle over them, the money has no conscience but rather a life of its own and the want of more (and more and more and more) of itself.

The three amigos of post-Soviet dictatorship — Putin-Assad-Khamenei — put on a good show and spread it around some through their systems of patronage, but as the web in English gets around, it may become ever more difficult to “follow the money” without also seeing the blood spattered across it and hearing the agonized crying of the suffering behind it.

Related: Reuters Investigates – Assets of the Ayatollah – 11/11/2013; Vladimir Putin Marbella villa in La Zagaleta – 1/19/2013; Assad’s palace: an empty, echoing monument to dictator decor | Art and design | theguardian.com – 9/11/2013.

# # #

FTAC – Syria – Assad – Before a Robust Moderate Secular Politics

17 Monday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Islamic Small Wars, Middle East, Political Psychology, Politics, Regions, Syria

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armies, army, Idris, political, political psychology, politics, Syria

What Assad’s air force has done to constituents will never be forgiven by those whose cooperation and loyalty the state must have; on the other side, General Idris remains in business and, it appears, is being favored in the distribution of European arms, probably in concert with official Saudi cooperation, but there are rogue forces, as much circumstances suggest, in the financing of the civil war, and they will have to be blocked and neutralized for a modern society to coalesce between autocratic personalities and then expand and squeeze them out. Syria — and Syrians — have a long way to go.

Putin has chosen the disingenuous position of sustaining a Putin-Assad-Khamenei arc at terrific expense to the humanity in the theater, and, so far, it appears he’s not going to budge from the program. I now call the three named the “three amigos of dictatorship”.

In politics as in life, anything seems possible; however, tendency says the dictator will go, and so will the Islamist fronts, both so aligned against the grain of humanity and nature.  Nonetheless, the inherently authoritarian on both sides of the battle — different talk; same walk — remain dominant in the theater and Syrians either neutral to both or supporting neither die and suffer at the hands of both.

At this point, it bears repeating: Syrians — a Syrian People, a community with the legacy of many histories on the land — have no army representing their interests.

Assad’s army, which has been dropping barrel bombs on apartment buildings, is not the army of the people; the other army, which, among other atrocities, appears to have shoved bakers into their own ovens is not the army of the people either; and, to a certain extant, the power bearing against Syria-Iran-Hezbollah-Shiite Islam may not be Syria’s preferred army either, but in the person of General Idris, it would appear, it would be at least Syrian and non-authoritarian in its attitude toward Syrian citizens.

# # #

 

FNS – Fast Scan

16 Sunday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Fast News Share, Politics

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Afghanistan, Burma, Central African Republic, conflict, fast look, Iraq, news, Pakistan, Syria, Turkey, Venezuela, Yemen, Zimbabwe

Brief

What to say to Pandora: “Don’t open the box!  Don’t look!”

The “fast scan” takes about an hour at human speed, ignores specific situations, and gets an “ah hah!” moment when one realizes that for causes that are often neither meaningful nor justifiable by those blowing themselves up, pulling triggers, and waving knives (is that still done?), conflict would seem just another natural cause of death.

From Afghanistan to Zimbabwe, people just plain don’t like other people.

Dress up the hate with poetry or scripture, crude talk, politico talk, lies, or a whole lot of truth, somebody’s got it in for somebody else by clan, class, ethnicity, nationality, race, or religion — no need to get personal: just box it, label it, and tear it apart!

Afghanistan

Afghanistan frees suspected Taliban prisoners over U.S. objections – The Washington Post – 2/13/2014.

Afghan forces have proved surprisingly effective – 2/15/2014.

Burma

The truth is, as Phuketwan first revealed on October 21, that Thai authorities pretend to deport the Rohingya, taking their names and fingerprints for the record, then actually deliver them into the arms of people traffickers.

Sordid Deception Fails to Hide Truth – Phuket Wan – 2/14/2014.

I don’t know what the sordid truth is out of Burma, but I know it’s bad and should be — now has — a place on the open source conflict overview circuit.

Central African Republic

Christian threats force Muslim convoy to turn back in CAR exodus | World news | theguardian.com – 2/14/2014.

* * *

“If you want to disarm the anti-balaka, it is better to first disarm the Seleka,” said resident Ngaro Nadine. “It is the Seleka who have been massacring and killing. Now it is the anti-balaka who are strong.”

Foreign troops round up 10 in crackdown on CAR militias – UPI.com – 2/16/2014.

Egypt

Brig. Gen. Alaa Mahmoud said 33 tourists from South Korea were on the bus and had visited the Greek Orthodox Monastery of St. Catherine’s, in the Sinai Peninsula. The bus was headed to Israel and was waiting in line near a border crossing, he said.

Tourist bus blast kills 4, wounds 14 in Egypt – CNN.com – 2/16/2014.

Taba, Sinai, was the location of the bombing of a Hilton in 2004.

Related: Egypt bomb attack kills four on tourist bus – 1/17/2014.

Iraq – Fallujah and Anbar Province

UN envoy concerned about Fallujah deteriorating situation : Aswat Al Iraq – 2/14/2014.

Iraq PM makes historic visit to Anbar « ASHARQ AL-AWSAT – 2/16/2014.

Pakistan

Clashes over Valentine’s Day celebration in Pakistan leaves 4 injured – Khaama Press (KP) | Afghan News Agency – 2/14/2014.

Militancy and politics in the shadow of a ceasefire – Daily Times – 2/17/2014.

* * *

PESHAWAR, Pakistan — A faction of the Pakistani Taliban said Sunday that it executed 23 paramilitary soldiers who have been held captive since 2010, even as other elements of the militant group continue preliminary peace talks with the country’s government.

Pakistani Taliban says it executed 23 captured Pakistani soldiers – The Washington Post – 2/16/2014.

Syria

“They can’t have it both ways,” the senior official said of the Russians. “They can’t say they’re in favor of negotiations in Geneva and a transitional governing body with full executive authority and humanitarian access and have a happy Olympics, and then be part and parcel of supporting this regime as it kills people in the most brutal way.”

U.S. official takes Russia to task for its role in Syrian conflict – The Washington Post – 2/15/2014.

Can negotiations resolve the Syrian conflict? – Inside Syria – Al Jazeera English – 2/16/2014.

Syrian rebels or international terrorists? – The Hindu – 2/17/2014.

Tunisia

The ministry said a National Guard patrol was sent to investigate reports that a civilian and a prison warden had been shot dead at a roadblock set up by armed men in Jendouba.

“Upon their arrival, terrorist elements opened fire,” killing two policemen and wounding another two, it said.

Ministry: Jihadists kill 4 in Tunisia – Al Arabiya News – 2/16/2014.

Turkey

Turkey has spent at least $2.5 billion on serving these guests since the war began and hosts around 600,000 Syrian refugees – around a quarter of all Syrian refugees. While many reside in the camps, a little over half have opted to settle in urban settlers and make their own living.

Turkish refugee camp ‘nicest’ in the world | General | Worldbulletin News – 2/14/2014.

Earlier this month, the Turkish army opened fire on a convoy of Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) – a jihadist group active in Iraq and Syria. This was in retaliation for a series of cross-border strikes that hit Turkish soil. Turkey has also warned of possible terrorist attacks in Istanbul after receiving intelligence that al-Qaeda-linked jihadists were planning to disrupt the Syrian peace talks.

Why Turkey needs to stand up against al-Qaeda | neurope.eu – 2/16/2014.

Ukraine

Ukraine protesters end two-month occupation – 2/17/2014.

Venezuela

Venezuela split by pro- and anti-Maduro protests — The Tico Times – 2/16/2014.

Venezuela Anti-Government Protests: Security Forces Search For Opposition Leader | Fox News Latino – 2/16/2014.

* * *

RAW VIDEO OUT OF VENEZUELA PROTEST MARCH AND SHOOTING AT PROTESTERS —- 2-16 – YouTube – 2/16/2014.

Yemen

No one claimed responsibility for the attack, but Yemen is grappling with a growing threat from one of al Qaeda’s most active wings, which has killed hundreds of people in assaults on state and military facilities in the past two years.

Attack on prison in Yemeni capital kills 11 | Reuters – 2/14/2014.

Zimbabwe

allAfrica.com: Zimbabwe: Violence Rocks MDC-T Harare Meeting – 2/15/2014.

# # #

Comment Attending Syria’s Proto-Jihad State

16 Sunday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Islamic Small Wars, Middle East, Politics, Psychology, Regions, Syria

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Islamic Jihad, Islamic Small Wars, Islamists, ISW, political, political psychology, politics, Syria

Saudi Commander in Jabhat al-Nusra Gives a Speech Before Aleppo Prison Attack, Asks ISIL to Join – YouTube – 2/15/2014.

Related: Future of Deadlocked Syria Talks in Question – 2/15/2014; French Ambassador to Syria, Eric Chevallier Argues with Syrian National Coalition | – 2/14/2014.

______

The Syrian People haven’t control of any army representing their needs, which today are immense with suffering.

The three amigos of dictatorship — Putin-Assad-Khamenei — have positioned and milked Syria’s productive capacities and strategic location for some time.  One may have hoped for Russia in the post-Soviet, post-KGB era to have taken the lead in producing a post-Soviet buffer and client in Syria, which by legacy may be conceded to Russia’s zone of control and influence (if we’re going to have that kind of world with superpowers locked into strategic checkmate for everyone’s security).

No dice.

Post-Soviet has transformed into a 19th Century style oligarchy suspended firmly in favor and patronage around the “vertical of power”.  So far.  Putin knows what’s needed and is capable of change.  Nonetheless, the horror he has back in Syria cannot or will not differentiate between combatants and noncombatant constituents, and state media RT and others have spun barrel-bombing Bashar al-Assad into the hero of Syrian secularism.

While there’s some truth to that, the damage in death and injury, dispersion and lost cities tell that the want of a healthy secularism pales before the ambition to again deeply subjugate the Syrian People to the Assad will.

A Look At the Other Side

Al-Nusra and ISIL and a large assortment of fighters, from upside-down European teenagers to old village militia, has looked to the Qur’an for guidance toward the development of Syrian theocracy or caliphate, either way another autocratic system bent on the glorification — today: self-aggrandizement — of leaders and the subjugation of all others.  They have discovered instead, so far, the endless divisions and egotism inherent in narcissistic “mobocracy” and “thugocracy”.

Instead of launching war of principle to unseat a brutal dictatorship, the Islamists find themselves fighting over personalities, which, if any may step back from it, they might find a war over the character of leadership personality itself.

The “west” and most of the world able to make itself helpful has now a proven capability for moving humanitarian aid to regions troubled by natural disaster and war, and a part of that involves the volunteering of military assets; however, the world hasn’t got the principle of deploying a military coalition as an invading force in a civil war.  NATO “Coalitions of the Willing” have involved at least the chimera of direct threat (Iraq) underscored, again, by the workings — including state support for terrorism — of an obscene dictatorship, or actual attack from foreign lands (Afghanistan).

Those volunteers most passionate about fighting in Syria have repeatedly proven themselves confused about God, humanity, and themselves — or none would have had the chance, much less the motivation, for throwing bakers into their own ovens.  Now they and we are in a terrible position: pushing out against Assad-Khamenei (with Putin in a supporting role), there is no expanding middle force.  The kernel for that should have been General Idris, but good, much less, civil, even nice, doesn’t seem to work in the Syrian theater.

Between dictatorship-for-money and tyranny attached to an egotistical presumption about one’s self and God, the French, among others, have signaled refusal to support either fascist track.

______

Why Israel should urgently consider saving Syrian lives | JPost | Israel News – 2/13/2014.

Israelis have been providing emergency medical care, including longer-term care, to Syrians injured or in need of medical attention (Syrian mothers have borne children in Israel).  They have also pitched in with humanitarian relief even with the erasure of Hebrew or origin labels attached to care shipments.

Related: IRIN Middle East | Briefing: Why humanitarians wary of “humanitarian corridors” | Syria | Aid Policy | Conflict | Early Warning | Food Security | Health & Nutrition 3/19/2012; France to join UN resolution on Syria humanitarian corridors – France – Syria – RFI – 2/10/2014.

It’s not like it hasn’t been thought about, but even the band-aid of an “humanitarian corridor”, a DMZ, a safe zone on Syrian soil adjacent to affected boundaries, requires defense.

Experience with the camps developed for the refugees of 1948 suggests too that such become permanent habitations and develop their own political character, a character sustained and damned by charity across generations and ensured by Arab prejudice and will, the refugees remaining disenfranchised and, so well demonstrated by what has happened to the Yarmouk Camp in Syria, treated as military assets held for war rather than like human beings.

______

It may be taken with a weary nod that Muslim teens and converts outside of Syria have been drawn to the fighting, for such fighting presents to them as noble and packaged with many other directions and emotions about things in the world, while the adults in charge (for the time being) seem not very far from the illusions and passions of youth themselves.  They are up there on the ramparts, “loaded for bear” (as hunters say), and full of themselves but now, the evil on the other side exceeding what they have made of themselves, they have to stay, and what the world would fight for, if it could get it together, is what they themselves may have to fight for, and that starts with change within.

So one would wish not to see one tyrant replaced by another, but in Syria’s brutal and frequently absurd medieval fighting, the tyrannical within the opposition needs must recognize itself and bend toward the grain of humanity.

Related: Congress Approves Weapons to ‘Moderate’ Rebels – Middle East – News – Israel National News – 1/28/2014; Syrian Rebels To Receive Anti-Aircraft Weapons from Saudi Arabia | TIME.com – 2/15/2014.

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Comment – Syria – Wanton Killing in Maan – No Syrian Army for Syrians

10 Monday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Islamic Small Wars, Middle East, Politics, Regions, Syria

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Islamist, Maan, massacre, Syria

There have been unverified reports published about horrifying massacres taking place that targeted entire Alawite families, based purely on sectarian affiliation.

______

Wahhabi Militants Invade Alawite Town of Maan in Rural Hama & Sectarian-Based Killings Reported – YouTube – 2/9/2014

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The Syrian Observatory for Human Rights monitoring group said the Islamists killed 25 people in the village of Maan, mainly from a pro-Assad National Defence Force militia.

But the government said the dead were mainly women and children and accused the fighters of committing a massacre on the eve of the resumption of peace talks in Geneva.

Islamist fighters seize Alawite village in central Syria – chicagotribune.com – 2/9/2014.

* * *

BEIRUT (Reuters) – A Syrian government delegation in Geneva urged mediator Lakhdar Brahimi on Monday to condemn the violence in the mainly Alawite town of Maan in central Syria in which at least 41 people were killed on Sunday.

Syrian government urges Brahimi to condemn Maan killings – document – World | The Star Online – 2/10/2014.

* * *

Extremist Islamic rebels overran a village in central Syria populated by Assad’s Alawite minority, killing at least 40 people Sunday, activists said. Half of the victims in the attack in Maan were civilians and the rest were village fighters defending their homes, said the British-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.

2nd-Round Syria Peace Talks Bog Down in Bitterness – ABC News – 2/10/2014.

______

There’s something cosmetic about peace talks and related optimistic political prognoses: Bashar al-Assad’s Syria is done; the Syria to come is not even envisioned with coherence or cohesion; the theater has long been a playground for Islamic Jihad and anarchic violence set loose across the land, the appointment of General Salim Idris as titular leader of a well-intended revolution notwithstanding.

Related: Salim Idris has failed as leader of Syrian rebels, coalition says – Telegraph – 12/13/2014.

While Russian President Putin enjoys the winter games at Sochi and American President Obama attends to domestic issues, it is doubtful either will countenance the development of an Islamist Syrian Republic in place of the merely Arab one recognized.  However, it seems both will let the spontaneous internal demolition continue until the curtain closes on the bloody first act, which ends with fevered diplomacy amid scattered fighting and political anarchy.

Syrians displaced and refugee, Syrians suffering with dread and loss, need an army of their own — not the dictator’s army, which serves the dictator, not the armies of God that serve primarily themselves even while cloaked in religion.  However, the Syrian army wanted would seem today the one routed from the field or diminished in its capacities.

About a month has passed since the running of the above-cited headline, “Salim Idris has failed as leader of Syrian rebels, coalition says.’  Doubtless, however, diplomatic and war planning activity continues around Salim Idris and the necessity of sooner or later confronting, containing, (and dismantling) the al-Qaeda-oriented fronts that seem to spread with deadly — and soul-deadening — exuberance.

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FTAC (Posted Here Exclusively) – On Syria, Putin, Sochi, and Power

09 Sunday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Iraq, Middle East, Politics, Regions

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intervention, political, politics, Putin, Russia, Syria

As a dictator develops, he may pass certain milestones in the way that any other criminal might. What starts with techniques for stealing elections, for example, gets on to a depth in corruption hard to reverse (once everyone’s on the take) — and then, later, more substantial crimes. Vladimir Putin may have launched and pursued his career along two tracks: one as the ultimate Bond villain, the Soviet, post-Soviet KGB thug — and he’s already got the nukes — and the other is his own figure in Russian history: how will he be remembered?

The farther down into the depths Syria goes, the more difficult Putin will find it to control his own reputation even as he rebuilds aspects of the Russian security state. He could intervene to temper the Assad regime with some kind of Russian ideological humanism lifted out of 19th Century aristocracy and agitation, but the Assad regime seems to have gone beyond rescue, imho, as has the ISIS part of the revolution, and such Russian medicine as may be applied may not be strong enough to reverse the damage done the state.

Incidentally, Putin evacuated Russian civilians from Syria, at least to the extent that they cared to leave (by air); he also pulled the naval presence from Tartus. That’s been part of the hands-off approach to Syria that has also made the battle space a political theater in which the worst of the worst really have shown their colors, somewhat diminished their own energies as well as assets in play, and brought inherent fault lines in the Arab world and in Islam into focus for the world to see.

A Putinesque intervention during Sochi would be glorious! 🙂 However, what does he have to work with, and what can he do with it? Syrians have needed what Egyptians have enjoyed: a protective and tractable army, not the one dropping barrel bombs on their heads. Take it further: they needed a mentality that would have gathered behind General Idris a malleable revolutionary army: instead, that bright idea has been flanked by the al-Qaeda affiliates and their remote sponsors.

If and as Russian web-based information culture expands, Putin’s reliance on image he can control will become more deeply challenged, but the so-called “fragile empire” has great backbone in the stolen billions of the energy business and use of the same to stoke corruption and patronage. Putin’s enjoying the winter games. He knows his kind of power, and, for now, he knows he’s got it and with it a fine image of himself along with the roaring adulation of his nationalist fans.

Inspiration: promotion of an article (which I’m not finding online) by Adnan Oktar encouraging Russian intervention in Syria.

_____

There is a struggle between America and Russia in Syria.! (Adnan Oktar) – YouTube – 2/3/2014

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Call it the “System of the Mahdi” or a thousand other things: essential humanism is the issue in Syria, and as noted here recently and implied in the top section, which was composed for a thread but is only posted here, Syrians have never known the possession of an army that stood for their interests.

What they have known and for three years experienced with increasing misery is a dictator’s army, Which has been the mighty instrument of their own subjugation.

With the revolutionary army partially, heavily, hijacked by the al-Qaeda affiliates, even if disaffiliated by al-Qaeda central, they’re trapped, and the reward for being defenseless is global hand wringing, UN humanitarian assistance, and neighborly emergency medical care in small portions — the injured or ill have to get to a border and across it — plus other assistance from (gasp!) Israel.

Syria is gone with several of its key cities destroyed and one-third to one-half of its population dispersed internally and externally.

Assad will not get it back, much less put it back the way it was.

Syrians, however, are not gone.

They will need to go home to their land and live different lives.  God give them the army to do it, somehow, and give that army the prescience and wisdom to know and to separate true threats to Syrian freedom, when it comes, from the fabrications of fascist dictators.

# # #

FTAC – Syria for Syrians

05 Wednesday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Islamic Small Wars, Politics

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Tags

analysis, armies, military, political, politics, Revolution, revolutions, Syria

Syria’s victimized needs must understand that the civil war is their war, not Assad’s war, not al-Qaeda’s war, not Iran’s war or Saudi Arabia’s war, not Russia’s war, not America’s war. Their war.

When Idris defected from Assad’s military, he left an abused organizations — which I have read described as “coup proof” — for disorganized civilian and military energy, which latter he was then to organize. Maybe at the Pentagon and among historians, that should not have been such a big deal, but in the reality, loose bands and militia with many things on their minds do not a ready-made military form. And in waltz the “Islamists” . . . .

“Syria for Syrians” would be my slogan, but it seems we (okay: of “the west”, of sentimental and sympathetic feeling) don’t know how to help them.

Note: the Kurdish People of Syria threatened directly with annihilation by ISIS et al. have taken care of themselves and possibly taken a chunk of Syria with them. However, fighting on that overlooked front continues in the general spilling across borders that the AQ affiliates, even if revoked, lol, define in their own weird way.

Facebook for me has become an Everyman’s Conflict and Politics Roundtable (as well as provocateur and politico tipster heaven) as it has for others, and, of course, it’s not the only “board” (remember those days?) in cyberspace where a lively discussion on conflict and politics is to be had at will.

* * *

It is simply a cutthroat struggle for power, between jihadist groups of similar ideology, distinct only in name and the identity of their backers, albeit with slightly differing methods of imposing their doctrines on the ground.

Islamic Front no answer for Syria conflict – Al-Monitor: the Pulse of the Middle East – 1/13/2014.

* * *

Britain also suspended deliveries some six weeks ago and Turkey shut its side of the border as fears over the growing strength of extremist jihadis crystallized in the takeover of the warehouses and bases by the Islamic Front, a new alliance of six of the most powerful Islamic rebel groups in Syria.

It was a stark demonstration of how Idris’ influence had diminished amid the rise of al-Qaida-affiliated militants flush with cash, weapons and battleground experience.

U.S. resumes non-lethal aid to Syrian opposition – Middle East Israel News | Haaretz – 1/27/2014.

* * *

Scissors.  Paper.  Stone.

Army.  Militia.  Population.

* * *

Syrians have no army.

That is why the army they don’t have managed to bomb so many millions of them out of their businesses and homes without quelling The Revolution, not to mention failing also to impede for long the regressive progress made by the al-Qaeda affiliates.

However, in Syria, the direction of impedance changes daily with the battles under way.

Syrians could have an army IF the army they don’t have can find a totem for rallying other than a) Bashar al-Assad and family or b) themselves, which more frequently is how things go with coup and junta.

The Other Army Syrians don’t have doesn’t care about them either (or it wouldn’t dream of throwing bakers into their own ovens, much less do it).

General Salim Idris persists in the field, but it appears in news and political terms — or for drama-creating news and political purposes — he’s not sexy.

Militia go where the arms are.

Little French girls with jihadi boyfriends-cum-husbands are not lighting out to the Syrian territories to fight for an American-educated and religiously moderate Syrian military leader (oh, dad, get real!).

* * *

Obama appears to want to tend to worries around his home, conceptually.

And Putin appears to be getting ready for a glorious Winter Olympics.

As mentioned in the top I-like-the-sound-of-my-own-voice section of this post, surrounding states and the UN haven’t more in their kits than humanitarian campground aid (and peacekeepers, when it’s safe to deploy them in defensive or tripwire positions).

* * *

Syrians have no army.

In the middle east, armies, as has been pointed out by the recently departed conservative scholar Barry Rubin, may account for the failure and success of revolutions in the region: if the army’s with the revolutionaries, the revolution wins; if it stays with the regime, the regime wins.

Simple.

Like a seesaw, the balance shifts back and forth for a while, but the stronger in arms prevails.

Related:

Mubarak’s pedestal was shaken by the people, but he was pushed off it by the army and the establishment. The revolution in Egypt succeeded because the army did not want Mubarak any more. The turning point was not that the army would not shoot its own people–it has done so before–but that it would not do so in order to save Mubarak.

REFLECTIONS ON THE REVOLUTION IN EGYPT – 10/27/2011.

Barry Rubin’s article inadvertently also provides a snapshot of Egypt and other of the Arab Spring-involves states just about two-and-one-half years ago.  The Egypt he wrote about then was to succumb only momentarily (even if it seemed a lifetime) to the prodigious talents of the Muslim Brotherhood for economic and social regress.

Additional Reference

Barry Rubin: Assessing Egypt and the Muslim Brotherhood – YouTube – 29:38 – posted 8/29/2013, event recorded 7/12/2013.  “The elite would not protect the regime . . . they had lost confidence in Mubarak.”  Rubin also goes on to say at 15:22, “People in the middle east know they are on their own!  I mean whether I like them or not.”

# # #

“How to Build the New Syria” – Two Videos

05 Wednesday Feb 2014

Posted by commart in Conflict - Culture - Language - Psychology, Islamic Small Wars, Politics, Syria

≈ Leave a comment

Tags

Assad, political, politics, Syria

Teenage refugee won’t give up on Syria – YouTube – 2/4/2014

CNN Source: Teenage refugee won’t give up on Syria – 2/4/2014.

* * *

Syria’s Lost Generation: The Plight of the Youngest Refugees – YouTube – 15:00 – 1/24/2014.

* * *

Syria offers a three-front conflict zone, and it’s all a bit clouded: Assad vs Idris vs ISIS (more or less).

What appears to be missing, although we know where the displaced and refugee may be in general terms, is the military force of the humane, moderate, and reasoning.  That category was to have been filled by General Salim Idris, but such a conceptual slot seems not to have translated well to the Syrian country-wide realpolitik of autonomous bands and militia — “loose and roaming energy” one might call that.

The two videos presented tell a side of the Syrian Civil War evident in political reality but absent of military representation while the field features “the brutal dictator” on one side and the horrifying al-Qaeda affiliates (in spirit if not in organizational fact) on the other.

With perhaps Putin’s input, to which none in the snoopy notebook class have privy, Assad holds the anti-al-Qaeda position and despite the regime’s own horrific spree of bombings and assaults on noncombatant Syrians, and may find favor on that most morally twisted (wrong actions, right direction) “high ground”.

It’s hard to imagine Assad staying given what millions of Syrians must know about him by way of their own personal losses — and the manner of those losses — but it has yet to dawn on the suffering that Syria may (must) be their fight too: the UN may step in only with the familiar “humanitarian assistance”; NATO and the west haven’t much truck with Assad and can’t seem to get Idris to steal the show; Putin doesn’t seem to care about humanity so much, but he could intervene, making a great grandstanding play of magnanimous post-Soviet Russian humanism during the Winter Olympics at Sochi (wait and see but don’t hold your breath); and “the Islamists” have quite a program — the most dismal on earth — in store for all who fail to impede them.

Additional Reference

Understanding Syria: From Pre-Civil War to Post-Assad – William R. Polk – The Atlantic – 12/10/2013.

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Epigram

Hillel the Elder

"That which is distasteful to thee do not do to another. That is the whole of Torah. The rest is commentary. Now go and study."

"If I am not for myself, who will be for me? If I am not for others, what am I? If not now, when?"

"Whosoever destroys a soul, it is considered as if he destroyed an entire world. And whosoever that saves a life, it is considered as if he saved an entire world."

Oriana Fallaci
"Whether it comes from a despotic sovereign or an elected president, from a murderous general or a beloved leader, I see power as an inhuman and hateful phenomenon...I have always looked on disobedience toward the oppressive as the only way to use the miracle of having been born."

Talmud 7:16 as Quoted by Rishon Rishon in 2004
Qohelet Raba, 7:16

אכזרי סוף שנעשה אכזרי במקום רחמן

Kol mi shena`asa rahaman bimqom akhzari Sof shena`asa akhzari bimqom rahaman

All who are made to be compassionate in the place of the cruel In the end are made to be cruel in the place of the compassionate.

More colloquially translated: "Those who are kind to the cruel, in the end will be cruel to the kind."

Online Source: http://www.rishon-rishon.com/archives/044412.php

Abraham Isaac Kook

"The purely righteous do not complain about evil, rather they add justice.They do not complain about heresy, rather they add faith.They do not complain about ignorance, rather they add wisdom." From the pages of Arpilei Tohar.

Heinrich Heine
"Where books are burned, in the end people will be burned." -- From Almansor: A Tragedy (1823).

Simon Wiesenthal
Remark Made in the Ballroom of the Imperial Hotel, Vienna, Austria on the occasion of His 90th Birthday: "The Nazis are no more, but we are still here, singing and dancing."

Maimonides
"Truth does not become more true if the whole world were to accept it; nor does it become less true if the whole world were to reject it."

"The risk of a wrong decision is preferable to the terror of indecision."

Douglas Adams
"Isn't it enough to see that a garden is beautiful without having to believe that there are fairies at the bottom of it too?" Epigram appearing in the dedication of Richard Dawkins' The GOD Delusion.

Thucydides
"The Nation that makes a great distinction between its scholars and its warriors will have its thinking done by cowards and its fighting done by fools."

Milan Kundera
"The struggle of man against power is the struggle of memory against forgetting."

Malala Yousafzai
“The terrorists thought that they would change our aims and stop our ambitions but nothing changed in my life except this: weakness, fear and hopelessness died. Strength, power and courage was born.”

Tanit Nima Tinat
"Who could die of love?"

What I Have Said About the Jews

My people, not that I speak for them, I nonetheless describe as a "global ethnic commune with its heart in Jerusalem and soul in the Land of Israel."

We have never given up on God, nor have we ever given up on one another.

Many things we have given up, but no one misses, say, animal sacrifice, and as many things we have kept, so we have still to welcome our Sabbath on Friday at sunset and to rest all of Saturday until three stars appear in the sky.

Most of all, through 5,773 years, wherever life has taken us, through the greatest triumphs and the most awful tragedies, we have preserved our tribal identity and soul, and so shall we continue eternally.

Anti-Semitism / Anti-Zionism = Signal of Fascism

I may suggest that anti-Zionism / anti-Semitism are signal (a little bit) of fascist urges, and the Left -- I'm an old liberal: I know my heart -- has been vulnerable to manipulation by what appears to me as a "Red Brown Green Alliance" driven by a handful of powerful autocrats intent on sustaining a medieval worldview in service to their own glorification. (And there I will stop).
One hopes for knowledge to allay fear; one hopes for love to overmatch hate.

Too often, the security found in the parroting of a loyal lie outweighs the integrity to be earned in confronting and voicing an uncomfortable truth.

Those who make their followers believe absurdities may also make them commit atrocities.

Positively Orwellian: Comment Responding to Claim that the Arab Assault on Israel in 1948 Had Not Intended Annihilation

“Revisionism” is the most contemptible path that power takes to abet theft and hide shame by attempting to alter public perception of past events.

On Press Freedom, Commentary, and Journalism

In the free world, talent -- editors, graphic artists, researchers, writers -- gravitate toward the organizations that suit their interests and values. The result: high integrity and highly reliable reportage and both responsible and thoughtful reasoning.

This is not to suggest that partisan presses don't exist or that propaganda doesn't exist in the west, but any reader possessed of critical thinking ability and genuine independence -- not bought, not programmed -- is certainly free to evaluate the works of earnest reporters and scholars.

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